Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
