SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Castellon |
49.68% ( -0.29) | 25.15% ( 0.07) | 25.17% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.08) | 51.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -0.07) | 73% ( 0.07) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.15) | 20.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.24) | 53.15% ( 0.24) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( 0.14) | 35.06% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( 0.15) | 71.81% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.67% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.17% |
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