Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
