Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (12.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
