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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
RV

Ponferradina
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Sielva (23'), Valcarce (39'), Adot (45')
Hernando (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Comesana (29'), Catena (41'), Martin (54')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Rayo Vallecano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawRayo Vallecano
25.41%28.73%45.85%
Both teams to score 41.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38%63.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.09%82.91%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2%41.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74%78.25%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.47%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 25.41%
    Rayo Vallecano 45.85%
    Draw 28.72%
PonferradinaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 5.66%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.29%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 25.41%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 14.88%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-3 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.29%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.85%


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