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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
Jul 12, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Numancia
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Zlatanovic (85')
Noguera (16'), Sanhaji (43'), Calero (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Manzanara (63'), de Souza (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Numancia and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 28.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Numancia in this match.

Result
NumanciaDrawPonferradina
40.87%30.17%28.95%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.52%66.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.09%84.91%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62%40.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23%77%
Score Analysis
    Numancia 40.87%
    Ponferradina 28.95%
    Draw 30.16%
NumanciaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 14.72%
2-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 7.59%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 12.95%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.16%
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 28.95%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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