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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
Jul 4, 2020 at 4pm UK
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Numancia
1 - 0
Extremadura

Calero (13')
Castellano (38'), Nacho (48'), Calero (68'), Marin (88'), Hernandez (90'), Escassi (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinchi (22'), Lomotey (54'), Nono (90+5')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Numancia and Extremadura.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Extremadura had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Extremadura win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Numancia in this match.

Result
NumanciaDrawExtremadura
42.09%28.56%29.36%
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34%64.66%
Extremadura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03%73.97%
Score Analysis
    Numancia 42.09%
    Extremadura 29.35%
    Draw 28.55%
NumanciaDrawExtremadura
1-0 @ 13.33%
2-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.35%


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