SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | FC Andorra |
40.78% ( 1.72) | 26.63% ( -0.48) | 32.6% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( 1.66) | 53.35% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( 1.39) | 74.89% ( -1.39) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 1.71) | 25.75% ( -1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( 2.27) | 60.68% ( -2.26) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( 0.02) | 30.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% ( 0.02) | 66.85% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | FC Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.6% |
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