Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leganes in this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Leganes
33.34% ( -0.06)	29.8% ( 0.01)	36.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.56% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.44% (

-0.04)

64.56% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.42% (

-0.03)

83.58% (

0.02)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05% (

-0.06)

35.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27% (

-0.06)

72.72% (

0.06)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

0.01)

33.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

0.01)

70.2% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 33.34%

Leganes 36.86%

Draw 29.8%

Ponferradina	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 33.34%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.8%	0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.86%