SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Ponferradina |
42.77% ( -0.17) | 28.23% ( 0.05) | 29% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.13) | 60.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% ( -0.1) | 80.52% ( 0.1) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.15) | 27.95% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( -0.19) | 63.58% ( 0.19) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.03) | 36.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( 0.02) | 73.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.99% |
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