Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Alaves |
29.78% ( 0.52) | 29.33% ( 0.07) | 40.89% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 42.89% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.28% ( -0.07) | 63.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.02% ( -0.05) | 82.99% ( 0.05) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.85% ( 0.37) | 38.15% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.09% ( 0.36) | 74.91% ( -0.36) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( -0.38) | 30.65% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -0.45) | 66.9% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Ponferradina | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 40.88% |
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