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Segunda Division | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
AL

Ponferradina
1 - 0
Alaves

Vallejo (66')
Nwakali (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tenaglia (21'), Sedlar (25'), Villalibre (37'), Blanco (68')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-2 Ponferradina
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Lugo
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawAlaves
29.78% (0.519 0.52) 29.33% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 40.89% (-0.593 -0.59)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)63.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.02% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)82.99% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (0.37 0.37)38.15% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (0.357 0.36)74.91% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.38 -0.38)30.65% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.45 -0.45)66.9% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 29.77%
    Alaves 40.88%
    Draw 29.32%
PonferradinaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 29.77%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 40.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Ponferradina
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-3 Cartagena
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-0 Ponferradina
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-0 Levante
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Ponferradina
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-1 Racing
Sunday, February 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Lugo
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Cartagena
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 4-2 UD Ibiza
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-4 Alaves
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Eibar
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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