SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Ponferradina |
47.46% ( -0) | 25.58% ( -0) | 26.96% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( 0.02) | 51.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( 0.02) | 73.42% ( -0.02) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( 0.01) | 21.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( 0.01) | 54.94% ( -0.01) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.02) | 33.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( 0.02) | 70.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.96% |
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