Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Mirandes |
39.79% | 28.98% | 31.22% |
Both teams to score 44.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.76% | 62.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.09% | 81.91% |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% | 30.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% | 66.77% |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% | 36.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% | 73.01% |
Score Analysis |
Ponferradina | Draw | Mirandes |
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 0.93% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.36% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.22% |
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