Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
