SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
31.04% ( 0.2) | 28.65% ( 0.33) | 40.3% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( -1.08) | 61.17% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( -0.82) | 81.12% ( 0.81) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.43) | 35.78% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -0.45) | 72.55% ( 0.44) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.84) | 29.72% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( -1.03) | 65.78% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.3% |
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