Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
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