SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
41.73% ( -2.3) | 29.47% ( 0.97) | 28.8% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 42.13% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.55% ( -2.55) | 64.45% ( 2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.5% ( -1.84) | 83.5% ( 1.84) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -2.52) | 30.53% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( -3.1) | 66.76% ( 3.1) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( -0.34) | 39.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% ( -0.31) | 76.05% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.3% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 12.01% ( 1.09)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.46% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.92) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.8% |
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