SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Amorebieta |
44.85% ( 0.47) | 29.07% ( -0.06) | 26.08% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 41.61% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0) | 64.33% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.58% | 83.41% |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.25) | 28.75% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 0.31) | 64.58% ( -0.31) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.36) | 41.6% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.32) | 78.09% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.19% Total : 26.07% |
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