Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Amorebieta
60.12% ( 0.61)	22.6% ( -0.16)	17.28% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

-0.03)

49.98% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

-0.02)

71.96% (

0.02)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

0.2)

16.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.26% (

0.36)

45.74% (

-0.36)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

-0.56)

42.47% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

-0.48)

78.84% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 60.11%

Amorebieta 17.28%

Draw 22.6%

Cartagena	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 60.11%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.28%