Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
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