Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Burgos
48.32% ( -0.02)	28.55% ( -0.01)	23.13% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 40.55% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.58% (

0.06)

64.42% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.52% (

0.04)

83.48% (

-0.04)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.02)

27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.03)

62.36% (

-0.02)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.55% (

0.07)

44.45% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51% (

0.05)

80.49% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 48.31%

Burgos 23.13%

Draw 28.55%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 15.71% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 48.31%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.55%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.13%