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Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Burgos

Otero (18'), Queipo (90+8')
Varane (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Curro (59')
Munoz (23')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, August 27 at 4pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, August 26 at 4pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawBurgos
48.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 28.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.13% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.55% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.58% (0.059000000000005 0.06)64.42% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.52% (0.041999999999998 0.04)83.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.021999999999991 0.02)27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)62.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.55% (0.067999999999998 0.07)44.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51% (0.055 0.05)80.49% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 48.31%
    Burgos 23.13%
    Draw 28.55%
Sporting GijonDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 15.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, August 27 at 4pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-0 Mirandes
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Friday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-4 Ponferradina
Sunday, May 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 2-2 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-1 Real Oviedo
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, August 26 at 4pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 3-2 Burgos
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Huesca
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-1 Lugo
Saturday, May 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 2-1 Burgos
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Leganes
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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