Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
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