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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Valladolid |
37.2% ( 0.17) | 27.96% ( -0.15) | 34.84% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.88% ( 0.56) | 58.13% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( 0.44) | 78.79% ( -0.44) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.38) | 30.06% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( 0.45) | 66.19% ( -0.45) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.27) | 31.54% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( 0.31) | 67.94% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.84% |
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