SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
31.12% ( -1.11) | 26.51% ( -0.63) | 42.37% ( 1.74) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( 2.14) | 53.31% ( -2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( 1.78) | 74.85% ( -1.78) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( 0.32) | 31.61% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( 0.37) | 68.01% ( -0.36) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( 1.89) | 24.9% ( -1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( 2.56) | 59.52% ( -2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.68)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.37% |
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