Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
