Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
