Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.47%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.14) 
