Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.