Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
