Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
