Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.