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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
1 - 0
Zaragoza

de Blasis (82')
Alcala (11'), Rico (28'), Jansson (49'), Datkovic (58')
Musto (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grau (34'), Molina (38'), Vada (52'), Petrovic (70'), Mollejo (90+4')
Grau (79')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huesca 2-3 Cartagena
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Levante
Saturday, August 20 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawReal Zaragoza
42.08% (0.13 0.13) 27.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 30.81% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.15% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)76.85% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.057999999999993 0.06)26.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.078999999999994 0.08)61.21% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)33.06% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.113 -0.11)69.65% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 42.08%
    Real Zaragoza 30.81%
    Draw 27.1%
CartagenaDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Huesca 2-3 Cartagena
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 2-3 Ponferradina
Monday, August 15 at 9pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-2 Cartagena
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 5-0 Amorebieta
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Cartagena
Saturday, May 14 at 3pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Leganes
Sunday, May 8 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Levante
Saturday, August 20 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Zaragoza
Saturday, August 13 at 10pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Sociedad B 1-2 Zaragoza
Friday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Lugo
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 3-3 Zaragoza
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-3 Alcorcon
Sunday, May 8 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division


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