Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
