SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | FC Andorra |
45.12% ( -0.64) | 27.21% ( -0.23) | 27.67% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( 1.27) | 57.39% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 0.99) | 78.21% ( -0.99) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.25) | 25.35% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 0.34) | 60.14% ( -0.34) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.42) | 36.36% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( 1.41) | 73.15% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | FC Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.68% |
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