SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
36.45% ( 1.49) | 29.7% ( -0.21) | 33.84% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% ( 0.61) | 64.2% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% ( 0.43) | 83.32% ( -0.43) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 1.32) | 33.63% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( 1.41) | 70.28% ( -1.41) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.55) | 35.39% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( -0.58) | 72.15% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 33.84% |
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