Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Levante had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.13) 
