Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 41.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Malaga | Draw | Racing de Santander |
41.07% ( -0.44) | 30.57% ( 0.23) | 28.36% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 39.32% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.23% ( -0.57) | 67.77% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.22% ( -0.38) | 85.78% ( 0.38) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( -0.56) | 32.64% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% ( -0.63) | 69.18% ( 0.63) |
Racing de Santander Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( -0.15) | 41.63% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% ( -0.13) | 78.11% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Malaga | Draw | Racing de Santander |
1-0 @ 15.21% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.07% | 0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.28) 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.56% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 28.35% |
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