SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Racing de Santander |
31.9% ( 0.45) | 31.03% ( 0.21) | 37.06% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 39.29% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.66% ( -0.54) | 68.33% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.84% ( -0.36) | 86.15% ( 0.35) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.03) | 39.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( 0.03) | 75.83% ( -0.04) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( -0.73) | 35.46% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0.76) | 72.23% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 31.9% | 0-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.02% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 7% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.06% |
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