Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.37%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (12.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.