Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 34.51%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 32.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.93%) and 1-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (14.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
