Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.81%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.