SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
40.96% ( 0.05) | 27.98% ( -0.2) | 31.06% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( 0.74) | 58.85% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( 0.57) | 79.35% ( -0.57) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.38) | 28.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( 0.48) | 63.92% ( -0.48) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.5) | 34.53% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 0.53) | 71.25% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 31.05% |
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