Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El PlantÃo
Artola (7')
Munoz (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Villarreal II.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.
| Result |
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
40.96% ( 0.05) | 27.98% ( -0.2) | 31.06% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( 0.61) |
| 41.15% ( 0.74) | 58.85% ( -0.74) |
| 20.64% ( 0.57) | 79.35% ( -0.57) |
| 71.78% ( 0.38) | 28.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.08% ( 0.48) | 63.92% ( -0.48) |
| 65.46% ( 0.5) | 34.53% ( -0.5) |
