Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.74%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.
