Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
