SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Sabadell |
| 41.61% | 28.94% | 29.45% |
| Both teams to score 43.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.42% | 62.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% | 82.15% |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Sabadell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% | 37.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Sabadell |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.06% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.45% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.69% Total : 29.44% |
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