Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.98%), while for a Sabadell win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.