SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Espanyol |
46.47% ( 1.73) | 26.04% ( -0.57) | 27.49% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( 1.6) | 53.12% ( -1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( 1.34) | 74.7% ( -1.34) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 1.51) | 22.83% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 2.19) | 56.56% ( -2.19) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.06) | 34.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0.06) | 70.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.49% |
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