Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Espanyol
46.47% ( 1.73)	26.04% ( -0.57)	27.49% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

1.6)

53.12% (

-1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

1.34)

74.7% (

-1.34)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

1.51)

22.83% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

2.19)

56.56% (

-2.19)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

-0.06)

34.22% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

-0.06)

70.92% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 46.47%

Espanyol 27.49%

Draw 26.04%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.47%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.49%