Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Sporting Gijon
36.75% ( 0)	29.36% ( -0)	33.89% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.91% (

63.09% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.47%

82.53% (

-0)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

32.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

69.43% (

-0)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24% (

-0)

34.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.5% (

-0)

71.5% (

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 36.75%

Sporting Gijon 33.88%

Draw 29.36%

Alcorcon	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.75%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 33.88%