Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
