Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.64) 
-0.11) 
