SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.55%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Leganes |
| 26.27% | 31.01% | 42.73% |
| Both teams to score 37.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.01% | 87% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% | 44.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.42% | 80.58% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.27% | 0-0 @ 14.55% 1-1 @ 13.16% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.32% Total : 31% | 0-1 @ 16.28% 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-3 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.75% Total : 42.72% |
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